Demirkapı Neighborhood, Bağcılar

The Demirkapı neighborhood is located in Bağcılar district, made up of 2,589 buildings.

Where Is Demirkapı?

The Demirkapı neighborhood is adjacent to neighborhoods such as 100. Yıl, 15 Temmuz, Evren. Within the neighborhood, the price per square meter shows a 2.5x difference between the most and least expensive areas; the median for Istanbul neighborhoods is 2.05x.

FatihYenimahalleDemirkapı
Within-neighborhood price gap×2.49

Among apartments of the same size, age, floor and room count, a 2.49x price difference was measured within this neighborhood. The Istanbul median is ×2.05 (the black line marks it). A wide gap means where you live within the neighborhood matters a lot; a narrow one means the neighborhood is homogeneous.

We cannot say where in the neighborhood the difference occurs. Source and methodology

Who Lives in the Demirkapı Neighborhood?

54K people live in Demirkapı, at a density of 51K people per km². That is 2.8 times the Istanbul average density. The median age is 31; the Istanbul neighborhood average is 36, which makes this a neighborhood 5 years younger. The average household here has 4 people. The average length of schooling is 8 years, 1 years below the city average. 13% are university graduates, compared with 22% citywide.

Population
54,498
13,557 households
Median age
30.8
Istanbul 35.5
Average household
4.02people
Istanbul 3.17
People / km²
50,933
Istanbul 18,211

Education level of neighborhood residents

Average education8 years−15%
Women's education7.5 years−17%
University graduates13%−9 points

The vertical line marks the average (median) of Istanbul's 745 neighborhoods; the value beside it is the neighborhood's difference from that average (percentage points for ratios, relative difference for durations).

Infrastructure and environment

Average internet speed368 Mbps+18%
Fiber coverage32%+7 points
Green space per person0.36 m²−53%

Socioeconomic status

Households receiving social assistance10.6%+5 points

Indicators are compiled from TÜİK, BTK and İBB Open Data records. Source and methodology

Profile of Demirkapı Neighborhood Residents

Resident satisfaction

Kanalizasyon12.9%
Kaldırımlar12.1%
Su11.4%
İnternet11.4%
Gürültü10.6%
Elektrik10.6%
Sokak aydınlatması9.8%
Toplu taşıma9.8%
Yeşil alan9.8%
Temizlik9.1%
Hava kalitesi7.6%

Share who said "satisfied" or "very satisfied." The vertical line marks the Bağcılar district overall.

Source: İBB Veriye Dayalı Yönetim Modeli hane halkı araştırması (50.391 hane). 132 households from this neighborhood responded.

What Is the Demirkapı Neighborhood Like?

Demirkapı is a neighborhood with an education level below the Istanbul average; 13% of adults are university graduates. By household, a significant share of households receive social assistance (10.6%). At the ballot box, the ruling bloc is ahead by a clear margin (59%). Consumption venues are below the city average, with the public space on the conservative side.

Consumption character

Looking at the types of consumption venues in Demirkapı, the neighborhood is markedly below the Istanbul average on the secular/conservative public space scale.

Moderately conservative
conservative public spacesecular public space

Ballot box · political leaning

In the second round of the 2023 presidential election, iktidar bloğunun cumhurbaşkanı adayı received 58.8% of the vote at Demirkapı's ballot boxes. In the 2024 local elections, AK PARTİ finished ahead in the district mayoral race with 55.7%. With this vote distribution, the neighborhood falls in the 26% band of Istanbul's spectrum from ruling bloc vote to opposition bloc vote.

Ruling bloc ahead
ruling blocopposition bloc

The scale shows political bloc preference; cultural identity is not inferred from the vote. Source and methodology

Civic fabric · associations

35 associations are registered with an address in the neighborhood. Most are in the meslek ve dayanışma category (25 associations). The sharpest deviation from Istanbul's composition is in the meslek ve dayanışma category: 14 points higher than citywide.

Civic vitality (associations per 1,000 people)0.64Istanbul median 0.86
şehir ortancasının altında (higher than 32% of Istanbul neighborhoods)
Meslek ve dayanışma25 · 71%+14 points
Dini hizmet2 · 6%−2 points
Eğitim ve araştırma2 · 6%+2 points
İnsani yardım2 · 6%−3 points

The vertical line is that category's citywide share.

Hometown associations

Bitlis · 2OrduArdahanBayburtSivasVan

It shows which communities have organized here, not who lives here. Source and methodology

This is not a measure of belief or lifestyle. Source and methodology

Transportation in the Demirkapı Neighborhood

Within Demirkapı's boundaries, 17 different İETT bus lines pass through 16 bus stops. The neighborhood is served by the M3 and M7 metro lines; the nearest station is "Mahmutbey," 171 m from the boundary. 100% of the neighborhood's population can reach a rail transit stop within walking distance.

Rail lines
2
M3 · M7
Ferry lines
0
no ferry pier
Bus lines
17
16 stops
🚇 Mahmutbey · M3, M7 · 171 m

Stops were counted within the neighborhood boundary; rail stations and ferry piers have a 400 meter buffer. Source and methodology

Building Stock

The neighborhood's building construction period and floor distribution. Construction period is the strongest factor determining earthquake risk.

71%
20%
before 19801980–2000after 2000
Total buildings
2,589
24.1 buildings/ha
Average floors
5.4
10+ floors
1.9%
Neighborhood area
107.6ha

Source: İBB Open Data (2017 Neighborhood-Level Building Counts). Construction after 2017 is not reflected in this count.

Earthquake Risk (İBB Possible Earthquake Scenario)

Projected values for this neighborhood in the expected major Marmara earthquake.

Very heavy damage
43buildings
Heavy damage
108buildings
Moderate damage
509buildings
Heavy+ rate
9%
share of damaged buildings
Projected fatalities
71
Severely injured
39
Temporary shelter
3,443people

İBB olası deprem senaryosu (mahalle bazında)

Soil class

98%
Z2 · denseZ3 · medium dense to loose

98% of Demirkapı's soil is in the loose or soft class (Z3-Z4). Ground motion here is felt on average 40% stronger than on rock.

Source: İBB Microzonation, Soil Classification Map (per the Earthquake Code). 75% of the neighborhood is covered by the map; the shares are based on that portion. The map's positional accuracy was measured at 170 meters, so it does not resolve to a single parcel.

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