Kemalpaşa Neighborhood, Bağcılar

The Kemalpaşa neighborhood is located in Bağcılar district, made up of 1,983 buildings.

Where Is Kemalpaşa?

The Kemalpaşa neighborhood is adjacent to neighborhoods such as 100. Yıl, Çınar, Demirkapı.

Fevzi ÇakmakKemalpaşa

Who Lives in the Kemalpaşa Neighborhood?

32K people live in Kemalpaşa, at a density of 56K people per km². That is 3.1 times the Istanbul average density. The median age is 32; the Istanbul neighborhood average is 36, which makes this a neighborhood 4 years younger. The average household here has 3.9 people. The average length of schooling is 8 years, 1 years below the city average. 11% are university graduates, compared with 22% citywide.

Population
31,892
8,284 households
Median age
31.8
Istanbul 35.5
Average household
3.85people
Istanbul 3.17
People / km²
55,951
Istanbul 18,211

Education level of neighborhood residents

Average education8 years−15%
Women's education7.5 years−17%
University graduates11%−11 points

The vertical line marks the average (median) of Istanbul's 745 neighborhoods; the value beside it is the neighborhood's difference from that average (percentage points for ratios, relative difference for durations).

Infrastructure and environment

Average internet speed286 Mbps−8%
Fiber coverage22%−3 points
Green space per person0.3 m²−61%

Socioeconomic status

Households receiving social assistance11.3%+6 points

Indicators are compiled from TÜİK, BTK and İBB Open Data records. Source and methodology

Profile of Kemalpaşa Neighborhood Residents

Resident satisfaction

Elektrik26.4%
Kanalizasyon25.3%
Kaldırımlar24.2%
Sokak aydınlatması23.1%
Su22%
Toplu taşıma20.9%
İnternet20.9%
Hava kalitesi19.8%
Yeşil alan18.7%
Gürültü17.6%
Temizlik17.6%

Share who said "satisfied" or "very satisfied." The vertical line marks the Bağcılar district overall.

Hometowns

YurtDışı-Orta DoğuOrduMersinGaziantepDiyarbakır

Asked directly of residents in the İBB household survey: the hometown of those born outside Istanbul who settled here.

Source: İBB Veriye Dayalı Yönetim Modeli hane halkı araştırması (50.391 hane). 91 households from this neighborhood responded.

What Is the Kemalpaşa Neighborhood Like?

Kemalpaşa is a neighborhood with an education level below the Istanbul average; 11% of adults are university graduates. By household, a significant share of households receive social assistance (11.3%). At the ballot box, the ruling bloc is ahead by a narrow margin (54%). Consumption venues are below the city average, with the public space on the conservative side.

Consumption character

Looking at the types of consumption venues in Kemalpaşa, the neighborhood is markedly below the Istanbul average on the secular/conservative public space scale.

Moderately conservative
conservative public spacesecular public space

Ballot box · political leaning

In the second round of the 2023 presidential election, iktidar bloğunun cumhurbaşkanı adayı received 54% of the vote at Kemalpaşa's ballot boxes. In the 2024 local elections, AK PARTİ finished ahead in the district mayoral race with 49.8%. With this vote distribution, the neighborhood falls in the 38% band of Istanbul's spectrum from ruling bloc vote to opposition bloc vote.

Ruling bloc ahead
ruling blocopposition bloc

The scale shows political bloc preference; cultural identity is not inferred from the vote. Source and methodology

Civic fabric · associations

21 associations are registered with an address in the neighborhood. Most are in the meslek ve dayanışma category (17 associations). The sharpest deviation from Istanbul's composition is in the meslek ve dayanışma category: 24 points higher than citywide.

Civic vitality (associations per 1,000 people)0.66Istanbul median 0.86
şehir ortancasının altında (higher than 34% of Istanbul neighborhoods)
Meslek ve dayanışma17 · 81%+24 points
İnsani yardım2 · 10%+1 points
Dini hizmet1 · 5%−3 points
Eğitim ve araştırma1 · 5%+1 points

The vertical line is that category's citywide share.

Hometown associations

Bitlis · 5Ordu · 3Van · 3SivasMalatyaGiresun

It shows which communities have organized here, not who lives here. Source and methodology

This is not a measure of belief or lifestyle. Source and methodology

Transportation in the Kemalpaşa Neighborhood

Within Kemalpaşa's boundaries, 22 different İETT bus lines pass through 7 bus stops. The neighborhood is served by the M7 metro line; the nearest station is "Göztepe Mah.," 125 m from the boundary. 100% of the neighborhood's population can reach a rail transit stop within walking distance.

Rail lines
1
M7
Ferry lines
0
no ferry pier
Bus lines
22
7 stops
🚇 Göztepe Mah. · M7 · 125 m

Stops were counted within the neighborhood boundary; rail stations and ferry piers have a 400 meter buffer. Source and methodology

Building Stock

The neighborhood's building construction period and floor distribution. Construction period is the strongest factor determining earthquake risk.

13%
74%
14%
before 19801980–2000after 2000
Total buildings
1,983
34.8 buildings/ha
Average floors
5.1
10+ floors
0.1%
Neighborhood area
57ha

Source: İBB Open Data (2017 Neighborhood-Level Building Counts). Construction after 2017 is not reflected in this count.

Earthquake Risk (İBB Possible Earthquake Scenario)

Projected values for this neighborhood in the expected major Marmara earthquake.

Very heavy damage
20buildings
Heavy damage
50buildings
Moderate damage
284buildings
Heavy+ rate
6.8%
share of damaged buildings
Projected fatalities
30
Severely injured
16
Temporary shelter
2,045people

İBB olası deprem senaryosu (mahalle bazında)

Soil class

94%
Z1 · rock / very denseZ2 · denseZ3 · medium dense to loose

94% of Kemalpaşa's soil is in the loose or soft class (Z3-Z4). Ground motion here is felt on average 38% stronger than on rock.

Source: İBB Microzonation, Soil Classification Map (per the Earthquake Code). 45% of the neighborhood is covered by the map; the shares are based on that portion. The map's positional accuracy was measured at 170 meters, so it does not resolve to a single parcel.

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